lundi 31 mai 2010

Euro Dollar: Anticipate new releases on the Euro Monday, May 31, 2010 at 11:58

L'Euro remains under pressure against the dollar this morning in the wake of deteriorating sovereign rating of Spain by Fitch on Friday evening. In general, what are the concerns about the budgetary positions of Member States of the Euro area's most vulnerable continue to penalize the single currency on the foreign exchange market. The rebound engaged May 26, in a context of renewed temporary confidence on equity markets in Europe, already seems to have exhausted its potential, and traders should be prepared to deal with new releases on the currency pair euro / dollar.

Around 11:30 am, the spot EURUSD is approximately 1.2300.

From a graphical perspective, cross track for hours since May 27 in the afternoon, a figure sharply downward, which organized over an area of support near 1.2280. In the case of a rupture in the short term this very significant level in terms of graphic, we could witness a new wave of releases, towards an area close to 1.2200.
In this context, the team Tradingsat.com delivers a negative opinion for the next few hours and offers traders to initiate short positions by targeting 1.2205, while placing protective stops above the 1.2335.
On the macroeconomic front, no major event can be reported on the daily schedules. Traders should note that U.S. markets will remain closed on Monday due to a holiday (Memorial Day

Graphique en données horaires :

vendredi 28 mai 2010

Euro Dollar: The euro enjoys a slight rebound in market confidence

Euro shows significant gains in late morning against the dollar, a favorable climate made by a (which we consider very temporary) trust in the trading rooms. Witness the effect of "pull back" on European equity markets as American. Yesterday at the close, the Nasdaq Composite, to mention only this index soared 3.73% to 2278 points. But for now, no reversal is confirmed on the equity markets, which remain under the threat of a powerful new wave of releases. Like the Euro currency that continues to worry traders because of strong fears about the budgetary positions of a number of Member States of the Euro Area, forced to commit for many years on the road austerity.

Around 11:25, the spot Euro / Dollar is approximately 1.2410.

From a graphical perspective, the cross now covers, in a very short term perspective, a phase of consolidation above 1.2400. In those circumstances are not conducive to a good position on the currency pair euro / dollar, we prefer to remain liquid in the immediate future.
In this context, the team makes a neutral Tradingsat.com for the next few hours and offers traders stay out of the market in anticipation of next clear signs. However we take care to note that a crossing of the voltage to 1.2453 revive the purchase, while a breach of 1.2380 would boost the selling pressure.
On the macroeconomic side, traders have to deal with American publications include: income and expenditure of households to 14:30 Chicago PMI index to 1545 and then the confidence index from the University of Michigan at 15:55. (Paris time)

Hourly Data chart:

jeudi 27 mai 2010

Euro Dollar: Rebound in trompe l'oeil on the Euro? Thursday, May 27, 2010 at 11:59

Euro recovers slightly against the dollar this morning, but remains under pressure due to lingering concerns on the front of the budgetary problems of the States of the Euro Zone the most vulnerable. If Greece continues to worry investors, Spain is not without bringing its share of concerns, particularly following the chilling message even sent this weekend across the Pyrenees, with the rescue by Bank of Spain, a small savings bank (Cajasur).
However, the single currency accords some respite in the wake of renewed confidence in the short term in the trading rooms of the Old Continent. Even as the major U.S. indices fall into the red.

Around 11:45, the spot EURUSD is growing, near 1.2280.

From a graphical perspective, the cross draw for very short term, a structure Chartist shoulder - head - shoulder that invites to anticipate new releases. The comeback of the original seller is now consensus view, and traders will not hesitate to Shorter-European currency, in an area close to 1.2154.
In this context, the team Tradingsat.com delivers a negative opinion for the next few hours and offers traders to initiate short positions by targeting 1.2155, while placing the stop loss above 1.2340.
On the macroeconomic side, traders will learn about the enrollment weekly U.S. jobless at 14:30. (Paris time)

Hourly data chart:




Daily data chart:


mercredi 26 mai 2010

Euro Dollar: Tensions less keen on the Euro Wednesday, May 26, 2010 at 12:11

The Euro is changing slightly down this morning, the gauge of confidence of traders are still constrained by the long record of public debt problems in the Euro Zone, and more recently by the tense situation between North Korea and South. However, the single currency, if it remains under pressure, changing now in narrow ranges against the dollar in a favorable context, an optical technique in the short term, equity markets on both sides of the Atlantic. The major U.S. indexes (Dow Jones and Nasdaq Composite) have dramatically limited their losses late in the session, and by late morning, the major exchanges in the Euro zone show significant gains. What to bring some respite to the pan-European currency.

Around 12:00, the spot euro / dollar is approximately 1.2320.

From a graphical perspective, the sequence of two candles in daily doji in volatility become reduced, reflecting the indecision of traders cross the short term. In the absence of strong technical signs, we prefer simply to avoid taking a position on the euro / dollar in the short term. Neutral opinion.
In this context, the team makes a neutral Tradingsat.com for the next few hours and offers traders stay out of the market in anticipation of next clear signs. However, we take care to note that a crossing of the voltage to 1.2400 revive the purchase of 1.2262 while a failure rekindle selling pressure.
On the macroeconomic side, traders will learn about American publications following this afternoon: Durable goods orders at 14.30, the new home sales at 16:00 and weekly reports on oil stocks at 16.30. (Paris time)


Hourly data chart:



Daily data chart:

mardi 25 mai 2010

Credit Agricole: Exposure to Greece is still unscrew the title Tuesday, May 25, 2010 at 18:05


As each new thrust of the debt crisis
Sovereign Credit Agricole has suffered heavily Tuesday
plunging 6.7% to 8.77 euros, the second highest
sharp fall in the CAC 40. Societe Generale (-6.3%) and Dexia
(-4.6%) Were also battered, also pushed
by fears surrounding the situation of banks
Europe.
The concerns of investors in the sector have
increased further after the rescue this weekend of
Cajasur savings by the Bank of Spain. But
Crédit Agricole's exposure to Greece continues well
sure to haunt the minds, the Greek banks to
publish their quarterly results last week
May.
The risk of default of Greece has also not
disappeared. "According to our calculations, if Greece was lacking
on 50% of its debt, the ratio of average core tier 4
banks would increase from 9% to 2%, and Piraeus NBG
being the most impacted, "says one analyst
Paris. A scenario that does not encourage unrealistic optimism
more for Emporiki Bank Greece fifth, with Credit
Agricole owns 72% of capital.
In this context always highly risky than
Deutsche Bank lowered its recommendation on Tuesday
Credit Agricole "Buy" to "Keep". Reason
invoked: "It is the only French bank
that a postponement of the regulatory reform of Basel 3
could have a negative impact on recovery. "
Indeed, the broker said, "recovery
relatively low turnover is partly linked to
uncertainties in the capital base of the bank, which
could be lifted with the publication of the
new regulations.
Moreover, according to Deutsche Bank, unlike its peers,
Credit Agricole should not be eligible for
improving its charges on loans in
because of its exposure to Greece.

dimanche 23 mai 2010

Wall Street: Wall Street's proof concerns about euro zone Sunday, May 23, 2010 at 18:52



NEW YORK (Reuters) - The volatility will continue to apply the
Next week on Wall Street because of
persistent concerns about the crisis
debt in the euro area, which would divert
investors as risky assets as shares.
After the new decline suffered the week Weekly
Last, the S & P 500 now accuses a decrease of approximately
10% compared to a high of 18 months achieved an end
April, which means that the index more representative
Wall Street has entered a correction phase
after a rebound of almost 80% recorded from more
12 touched down in March 2009.
"The market is difficult. If you do not have the nerves
solid and if you do not have some fun
operate in volatile market conditions this is (...)
not the moment you start trading
stock market, "said Randy Frederick, director of
derivatives at Schwab Center.
Friday, Wall Street has ended sharply increase, putting
end a series of bearish three days with a
Movement of buying cheap. But on the whole
the past week, the Dow Jones and S & P 500 yielded
about 4% and the Nasdaq Composite approximately 5%.
On this same week, the volatility index of the Chicago
Board Options Exchange, also called "index
fear, "increased 30%. Before finishing down
12.4% to 40.10, Friday it had reached a higher
since 10 March 2009 to 48.20.

"Every down cycle begins with a correction. We
are in a type of environment where anxiety
investors are wondering whether it is just a
correction or the beginning of a downward cycle. The
players on the market in horror of the unknown and
that is why we could still find
significant fluctuations, "continued Randy Frederick.
According to the latter, the VIX, which is an estimate
volatility in the next 30 days, could evolve
35 and over 45.

Geithner IN EUROPE

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner will make a stop
Germany and Great Britain to discuss
economic and budgetary conditions in the euro area
on his return from a trip to China.
"Sure, we can quickly resolve this crisis
debt but this visit comes at the right time. We
do not know what comes out of these meetings but
could be a kind of coordinated action
address the problem of liquidity in Europe, "said
Jeff Kleintop, chief technology officer at LPL analysis
Financial.
For months the world stock markets and the euro
are under pressure because of fears that
Greek debt crisis spread to the entire
Euro area and cause a new blockage system
Financial World.
The stabilization mechanism of 750 billion euros
set two weeks ago by the European Union and the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) failed to
allay these fears and has even led to new
concerns.

Stakeholders fear that the measures
austerity in return demanded by the EU and the IMF,
as those that will be implemented in Greece and
Spain, not just nip in the bud growth already
fragile.
After the unexpected rise weekly listings
announced last week, the first since the
April, this statistic will be particularly
followed by Wall Street, which needed to be reassured
the state of the labor market.
"The improvement that we observed on the market
work has gradually been reduced to nil. The
Statistics this week will be very important
since seen whether this is a break or a decline
long term, "said Randy Frederick.
There will also be a series of indicators related to
housing market - which recovery is deemed
crucial for sustaining the growth recovery
economic - with sales of existing homes,
Case-Shiller index and new home sales.
Among other statistics headlights, include
Durable goods orders in April and
second estimate of gross domestic product (GDP)
U.S. first quarter.

jeudi 20 mai 2010

Europe: The European crisis threatening the U.S. economy, according to the Fed Thursday, May 20, 2010 at 20:22


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - La crise de la Dette Européenne
Risque de l'ONU constitue "potentiellement important" pour la
Reprise de voiture américaine menace économique Elle les marchés
de crédit et le commerce Mondial, un Estimé Jeudi Daniel
Tarullo, l'ONU des Gouverneurs de la Réserve Fédérale.
Verser CE responsable de la Fed, SI La Crise de la Dette
Pas Européenne contenue n'est, pourrait entrainer des Nations Unies CELA
gel des marchés financiers et provoquer UNE CRISE
Mondiale semblable à Celle de la fin de 2008.
tout danger pour la JUSQU'A semaine, les Représentants de la
Banque centrale américaine avaient Minimiser les Effets
des virtualités des difficultés Européennes sur l'économique
américaine.
"Les Européens Problèmes de Dette Souveraine SONT des Nations Unies
contretemps potentiellement important », déclare un Daniel
Tarullo SELON le texte de l'ONU Témoignage d'Destiné à Deux
parlementaires sous-commissions.
L'intervention de CE Gouverneur intervient ALORS Que les
marchés financiers plombés par la SONT Internationaux
la confusion et le manqué d'unir par les affiches
Politiques Dirigeants Européens Pour regler Chaleurs
difficultés.
"Les Investisseurs conscients SONT Peut Que NE CE plan
Pas supprimer en fin de Compte de la nécessité »
Véritables, douloureuses et probablement, Réformes
BUDGÉTAIRES DANS la zone euro ", Daniel Tarullo Estimé en
plan de stabilisation au reference de 750 milliards
d'euros mis en place par l'Union Européenne Avec l'aide
Fonds Monétaire international du (CGI).
RISQUE DE Pertes revient POUR LES BANQUES US
"Si les Problèmes des etats Européens Périphériques
Sein s'étendent JUSQU'A how are exchange rates de nouvelles difficultés au
de l'Europe, Les Banques Américaines seront confrontées à
des Pertes revient sur l'exposition d'au Leur ensemble
Qui crédit HNE Très importante », prévenu, at-il.
"En plus d'occasionner des Pertes Directes aux
Américaines institutions, Accroissement de l'ONU des tensions
Financières en Europe pourrait se Transmettre aux marchés
financiers A travers le monde. "
Mesure financiers Dañs Certaine UNE, les marchés montrent
Déjà des signes de tensions s'accumulent, étayant l'idée d'ONU
MAINTIEN des Taux d'Américains interest, proches de zéro,
JUSQU'A L'Année Prochaine.
La reprise de l'américaine pourrait être de économique menacée
par réduction des Echanges Internationaux UNE SI les
Européennes perspectives se détériorent, un prévenu, Daniel
Tarullo.
Ted Truman, ancien responsable au Trésor Américain et Qui
UNE témoigner devant DOIT sous-commission du congrès
Après Daniel Tarullo, juge la menace réelle Très.
"Le CEST Risque Que la situation Devienne Européenne
Incontrolable, se répande Travers à l'Europe Au-delà de
La Grèce, l'Europe replonge en récession et provoquer de
Nouveaux «dommages à l'économique américaine et Mondiale
AINSI financier qu'au system ", SELON Estime-t-il le
Témoignage texte de fils.

mercredi 19 mai 2010

Wall Street: Wall Street down 0.63% after the German decisions Wednesday, May 19, 2010 at 22:28


NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street closed lower
Wednesday, the German decision to prohibit sales
discovered naked on the bonds and CDS
Rulers of the euro area have raised doubts in
the minds of investors.
The Dow Jones lost 0.63%, 66.58 points at 10,444.37
points, the S & P 500 dropped 5.75 points, to 0.51%
1115.05 points and the Nasdaq fell 18.89 points,
0.82%, to 2298.37 points.
The three indexes finished but far enough from their
lowest sitting.
The titles of major industrial groups, very
dependent on their sales abroad, were the most
affected by the motion of no confidence that entered the
U.S. stock markets. Caterpillar has lost 2.77% to
U.S. $ 61.44, while Boeing dropped 2.22% to
U.S. $ 66.21 and Microsoft has dropped 1.25% to 28.24
dollars.

"There remains much uncertainty in the markets
foreigners. It is unclear how far things
can go, "said Steve Goldman market strategist
of Weeden.

Germany declared war on Tuesday night
speculators and has gone against its partners foot
Europeans who have testified Wednesday that he was not
consulted on the decision to prohibit purely Berlin
and only certain financial transactions.
Chancellor Angela Merkel in the Bundestag, has
said that the euro was at risk. She urged
EU to speed up market supervision
and implement a new financial tax.
European shares before them and the places
Asian Financial were very badly received this
information which will deprive some investors
instruments of speculation.
To reverse the trend Hewlett-Packard has finished
increase from 0.47% to 47.00 U.S. dollars after having released Tuesday
only the results above expectations and raised its
forecasts.

mardi 18 mai 2010

Wall Street: Wall Street ends sharply down with financials Tuesday, May 18, 2010 at 22:36


NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street has closed down
more than 1%, within the scope of both the collapse of values
Financial sealed by the prospect of a cure
the regulatory system but also by the return of
Concerns about the consequences of the crisis
debt in the euro area.
After initially opened up to for
strong quarterly results from Wal-Mart and advances
in the implementation of the stabilization mechanism of
750 billion euros in the euro area, Wall Street has unfolded
under successive battering.
Stakeholders await with some trepidation
new rules to limit transactions
when financial markets skid so
uncontrolled, which will be proposed Tuesday by the SEC
response to an unexplained dip on Wall Street May 6
The German decision to prohibit from
Wednesday selling expose on the ten
major financial institutions in the country and
on government bonds in the euro area and CDS
backed by such obligations, also weighed on the side,
financials in particular.
They finally have suffered from the compromise in the Senate on
the balance of power between local and responsible
federal oversight of the banking sector
an agreement paving the way for adoption of the recast
financial regulation in the United States intended by
Obama administration.
The S & P financial sector has declined
2.79%, with Bank of America retreating from 2.51% to 15.94
dollars, JP Morgan Chase 2.11% or $ 39.00
Goldman Sachs still 3.7% to 137.36 dollars.
The shares of Visa and MasterCard respectively
dropped 6.18% to 70.09 dollars and 3.79% at 202.81
dollars after the CEO of Visa said
the Senate bill to limit
commissions on credit cards or debit could
affect trading volume.
Abercrombie & Fitch's action has lost 5.89% to 38.38
dollars after announcing its decision to review the
down its plans to open stores abroad
This year, area where the chain of clothing stores
Yet Young has the best potential
growth.
Wal-Mart has gained 1.84% to 53.70 after its results
better than expected. In contrast, Home Depot, which has
also exceeded expectations, sold 2.42% to 34.73
dollars.

lundi 17 mai 2010

NicOx: The meltdown continues after the setback naproxcinod Monday, May 17, 2010 at 15:00


The setback suffered in the file is naproxcinod
yet 17% plunge NicOx Monday afternoon to 2.33
Euro. Over the last five sessions, the title of
Pharmaceutical Society has lost two thirds of its
value to fall back on historically low levels.
It will go into effect at least six years ago
to find a course in as little meeting.
After the semi-defeat of its anti-inflammatory for
treatment of osteoarthritis, following a negative opinion
panel of experts from the FDA, analysts revise their
valuation model. NicOx has been this morning
degradation of two brokers.
The CM-CIC Securities has gone from "Buy" to "Sell" with
a target price revised downward very sharply to 2 euros
cons ... 16 euros previously. In turn, Aurel
lowered its opinion of "Hold" to "Sell" with a
price target cut to € 2 cons 6 euros earlier.

samedi 8 mai 2010

Europe: The euro zone leaders endorsing the plan Assistance Athens Friday, May 7, 2010 at 23:12


BRUSSELS (Reuters) - Leaders of euro zone
Friday formally endorsed the plan to help
Greece last Sunday triggered by their ministers
Finance, we learn from several sources
Diplomatic.
"The agreement is confirmed," said one of those sources.
Countries in the euro area have established a mechanism
unprecedented aid to Greece consisting of loans
bilateral totaling 110 billion euros
(80 billion for the countries of the euro area and 30
billion for the International Monetary Fund).
The first installment of these loans will reach Athens
by May 19, when the Greek government
will refinance 8.5 billion euros of debt.

mardi 4 mai 2010

Societe Generale: The CAC 40 plunged the bank under pressure Tuesday, May 4, 2010 at 11:30


Declining moderately at the opening, the Paris market
sinks into the red by late Tuesday morning, always
concerned about the crisis and the risk of Greek
contamination to other European countries.
ACC 40 shows a decline of 1.77% to 3760.78 points with
banking sector adrift despite good results
Quarterly Swiss bank UBS.
Credit Agricole fell more than 4%, while Dexia (-
3%), BNP Paribas (-2.7%) and Societe Generale (-2.6%) are
pressure. In the insurance sector, Axa loses
3.4%.